Bayer Leverkusen secured themselves a guaranteed third-place Bundesliga finish and Champions League football for next season with their 2-1 win the weekend before last against, at the time, fourth-placed Hertha Berlin. Leverkusen ended their 2015/2016 campaign finding form at the perfect time with seven consecutive league wins and as the most in-form side in the Bundesliga. Notable credit must be given to Javier ‘Chicharito’ Hernandez, who has scored 17 times in his 27 Bundesliga appearances, and his support from wingers Karim Bellarabi and young Julian Brandt. Leverkusen experimented with their lineup last time out in their 2-1 defeat away to Borussia M’gladbach, deciding to rest some “star players” so that some of their younger and reserve players could taste top flight action.

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FC Ingolstadt will have aimed for nothing more than survival as one of the two newly promoted sides in the 2015/2016 Bundesliga campaign. Last Saturday’s 2-1 defeat against FC Bayern Munich was meaningless, other than allowing Bayern to secure their fourth-consecutive Bundesliga title, as they had already confirmed their survival with a 2-2 draw against Hannover 96 in the weekend prior. Ingolstadt have guaranteed themselves another season in the top flight and currently stand on the magic “40 point” total with one match remaining. Neither relegation nor European qualification remains a mathematical possibility for them.

Both teams can relax for this match as Bayer Leverkusen celebrate Champions League qualification and a third place finish in fron of their home fans, while FC Ingolstadt silenced the critics and celebrate looking forward to another season in the top flight. Both Bayer Leverkusen and FC Ingolstadt are likely to rotate their lineups and experiment with inexperienced players. Leverkusen remain the favourites, with a strong home record (W4 D1 from their last 5) and the stronger side on paper, especially as FC Ingolstadt have a poor record on the road – Ingolstadt haven’t won any of their last 13 away matches. While we expect Bayer Leverkusen to take away at least a point from this match, it must be noted that both teams are in solid goal-scoring form. Bayer Leverkusen have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game over their last seven Bundesliga matches, while FC Ingolstadt have scored at least one goal in all but one of their last 12 matches. Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect Bayer Leverkusen to win or draw with both teams to be a safe bet in this match, while Bayer Leverkusen to win 2-1 at 7/1, based on the average goal per games from both sides, seems a top value correct score bet for this match.
Bayer Leverkusen won 1-0 in the reverse fixture from earlier this season, the only ever top flight meeting between the two sides – Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez scored the only goal.
Both teams have scored in each of Bayer Leverkusen’s and FC Ingolstadt’s last three matches. FC Ingolstadt have not won away from home in any of their last 13 away games. Bayer Leverkusen 2nd most common result at home is a 2-1 win (12.5% of all matches).

Leverkusen remain without defenders Papadopoulos and Brazilian Wendell, who are both now ruled out for the rest of the season. Tin Jedvaj will not feature as he serves out his one match ban. Expect Bayer Leverkusen to play a similar lineup to that from last weekend’s 2-1 loss away to Borussia M’gladbach.

FC Ingolstadt are without defender Robert Bauer, who is serving a 1 match suspension. Also doubtful is defender Danilo Soares, who was substituted off with a toe injury during last match.
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw and Both Teams to Score at 10/11